The Oscar nominations will be announced tomorrow morning and despite the Academy’s best efforts, it looks like the biggest films of the year will be mostly shut out of competition. Don’t expect big nominations for The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises or The Hunger Games.
奥斯卡奖提名名单将在周四美国时间的上午公布，尽管美国电影艺术与科学学院做出了最大的努力，但是现在看来，今年最优秀的电影大多将退出角逐奥斯卡奖的行列。《复仇者联盟》（ The Avengers）、《蝙蝠侠：黑暗骑士崛起》（The Dark Knight Rises）和《饥饿游戏》（ The Hunger Games）预计不会获得主要奖项的提名。
Since 2008, the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences has been playing with the formula for Best Picture in the hopes of getting more popular films nominated (and boosting viewership for the Oscar ceremony which last year was watched by fewer people than watched the Grammy Awards). First they increased the number of nominated films from five to ten. This year, to complicate things, there could be as many as ten nominees or as few as five. In order to qualify for a Best Picture nod, a film has to be the top pick of at least 5% of the Academy voters.
2008年以来，美国电影艺术与科学学院（Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences）一直在修改奥斯卡最佳影片奖的评选规则，希望更多受到欢迎的电影获得提名（同时提高奥斯卡颁奖典礼的收视率，去年收看奥斯卡颁奖礼的观众比观看格莱美颁奖礼的观众更少）。首先，他们把提名影片的数量从5部增加到10部。今年的情况更加复杂，提名影片有可能多达10部，也有可能少至5部。为了获得最佳影片奖提名的资格，一部电影至少要被5%的学院投票者列为首选。
That means there’s room for a wild card. Our in-house film expert, Mark Hughes, t hinks that could be Skyfall or The Hobbit (which would ruin the premise of this post). I think Skyfall has a decent chance of being a spoiler. It has a prestige director in Sam Mendes, it’s earned almost universal praise from critics and it’s the first Bond movie ever to bring in $1 billion at the box office.
这意味着提名名单存在很大的未知因素。我们内部的电影专家马克·休斯（Mark Hughes）认为，《007：大破天幕杀机》（Skyfall）或《霍比特人》（The Hobbit）可能会获得提名。我认为《007：大破天幕杀机》有很好的机会成为搅局者。这部电影的导演是颇有声望的萨姆·门德斯（Sam Mendes），本片几乎获得了影评家的一致好评，成为有史以来票房收入达到10亿美元大关的第一部邦德电影。
But I suspect we’re going to see a very blockbuster-light list of nominations. The films that are getting the most award buzz are Lincoln, Les Miserables and Zero Dark Thirty. While Lincoln and Les Miz are doing well at the box office (earning $144 million and $172 million so far respectively), they aren’t near the top earners of 2012. Zero Dark Thirty has only been playing in a few theaters. It expands into wide release this weekend.
不过，我怀疑我们会看到一份好莱坞大片云集的提名名单。现在得奖呼声最高的电影是《林肯传》（Lincoln）、《悲惨世界》（Les Miserables）和《猎杀本·拉登》（Zero Dark Thirty）。尽管《林肯传》和《悲惨世界》的票房收入都不错（迄今为止分别获得了1.44亿美元和1.72亿美元的票房收入），不过这两部影片并没有进入2012年收入最高的电影排行榜。《猎杀本·拉登》仅在少数影院放映。这部影片将在本周末广泛上映。
It’s not necessarily a bad thing that big blockbusters don’t get nominated. Films that earn over $1 billion at the box office don’t really need any more publicity or anything else to help boost DVD revenue. Smaller films, like Zero Dark Thirty, rely on that Oscar boost. Nominations focusing on smaller films is good for the overall Hollywood ecosystem, even if the people running the awards would like to spice things up a bit.
好莱坞大片没有获得奥斯卡奖提名，未必是一件坏事。票房收入超过10亿美元的影片其实并不需要更多的宣传或其他手段，来帮助提高DVD的销售收入。《猎杀本·拉登》这样的小制作影片则要依赖奥斯卡奖走红。以小制作影片为主的提名名单将有利于好莱坞的整体生态系统，即使主办这些奖项的人希望为此增加一点新鲜感。
The awards are scheduled for February 24th on ABC. Seth MacFarlane is this year’s host.
今年的奥斯卡奖颁奖仪式定于2月24日举行，由美国广播公司（ABC）转播，塞思·麦克法兰（Seth MacFarlane）担任今年颁奖礼的主持人。
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